Southampton vs Manchester City: prediction & betting odds 10 May 2025

The Matchday 36 Premier League clash between Southampton and Manchester City will take place on May 10 at St. Mary's Stadium. Southampton vs. Manchester City: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Southampton

The team has been unable to secure a win in the Premier League for 11 consecutive matches. During this stretch, the club has suffered nine defeats and managed two draws. In the last round, Simon Rusk's side even lost to Leicester, who are just one place above them in the standings (0-2). With four rounds remaining, Southampton has only 11 points, matching Derby's record low for points in a Premier League season (2007/08).

  • No more than three goals have been scored in 6 of the club's last 7 league matches.
  • Both teams have scored in 6 of Southampton's last 8 Premier League games.
  • The club's winless home streak in the Premier League stands at 12 matches (1 draw and 11 losses).

Predicted lineup for Southampton (5-4-1)

Aaron Ramsdale – Jack Stephens, Ryan Manning, Jan Bednarek, Taylor Harwood-Bellis, Kyle Walker-Peters – Lesley Ugochukwu, Mateus Fernandes, Flynn Downes, Kamaldeen Sulemana – Ross Stewart.

Manchester City

The Citizens have gradually climbed to third place in the standings. This happened after the club remained unbeaten in the Premier League over the past two months (5 wins and 2 draws). In the previous four rounds, Pep Guardiola's side secured victories: at home against Crystal Palace (5-2), Aston Villa (2-1), and Wolverhampton (1-0), and away against Everton (3-0). Notably, the team could even finish the season in second place, as they are only three points behind Arsenal.

  • A maximum of three goals were scored in 8 of the last 10 matches for the Mancunians in the Premier League.
  • At least one team failed to score in 8 of Manchester City's last 11 Premier League games.
  • The Citizens have not conceded in the first half in 7 of their last 8 away league matches.

Predicted lineup for Manchester City (4-2-3-1)

Stefan Ortega – Matheus Nunes, Josko Gvardiol, Nico O'Reilly, Ruben Dias – Mateo Kovacic, Ilkay Gundogan – Kevin De Bruyne, James McAtee, Bernardo Silva – Omar Marmoush.

Defenders Nathan Ake and John Stones are currently sidelined. Notably, midfielder Rodri Hernandez has recovered, but his participation in the match is still in doubt due to his physical condition.

Referee

Tim Robinson (England)

Matches – 13 (Premier League, 2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 60;

Average yellow cards per match – 4.6;

Red cards shown – 2;

Average fouls per match – 24;

Penalties – 23%.

Match Prediction: Southampton vs. Manchester City

It seems likely that Southampton will match Derby's record for the fewest points in a season, as they face two Champions League zone teams at home and Everton away in their remaining three matches. The team is merely playing out the season, having collected just two points in their last 11 matches. During this period, the club has suffered seven defeats by a margin of two or more goals.

Pep Guardiola can salvage this disappointing season. By improving their play in the second half of the campaign, the team has moved closer to the second spot in the standings, which they will now aim to secure. Against the bottom three teams this season, Manchester City has played five matches, winning each one, with four victories by a margin of at least two goals. Additionally, the Citizens have defeated Southampton in 11 of their last 14 Premier League meetings.

My prediction – Manchester City with a handicap (-1.5)

Southampton — Manchester City betting tips 10 May 2025

When a team at the foot of the standings faces a multiple-time Premier League champion that has recently emerged from a challenging spell while keeping faith in its manager, the only real question is not the outcome, but the margin of victory.

If Southampton finish the season with just 11 points, they will equal the lowest points tally in English Premier League history, set by Derby County in 2007/08. Even when they were relegated two seasons ago, they managed to collect 25 points—more than double their current total. Since their victory over Ipswich Town on 1 February, Southampton have failed to win in 12 consecutive league matches. That said, since the beginning of spring, they have suffered only one heavy defeat in eight games, a loss to Aston Villa.

We do not expect Manchester City to push themselves to their full capacity against a side that is already destined for relegation. The team laboured to a narrow home win against Wolverhampton Wanderers, securing a 1:0 result. After Kevin De Bruyne scored in the 35th minute, they appeared content to manage the game without seeking further goals. In total, they registered just nine shots, with an xG value of 0.71. After the break, the squad produced only two off-target efforts and 0.12 xG. Still, they enter this fixture on a four-game winning run.

Earlier in the season, when Southampton were still fighting for survival, Manchester City managed only a 1:0 win at the Etihad Stadium. With Aaron Ramsdale in goal for Southampton, a heavy loss seems unlikely.

Betting prediction
Southampton (+2.5)
Cf
Odds
3/5
Bet now

Southampton vs Manchester City Odds

Current season

Logo Southampton Logo Manchester City
2 Wins 19
28 Lost 9
5 Draws 7
0.71 GF per game 1.91
2.34 GA per game 1.23
4.03 Corners per game 6.54
2.46 Yellow cards per game 1.63

Premier League: previous matches in the tournament

Southampton
03.05.25
Leicester City
Southampton
L
26.04.25
Southampton
Fulham
L
19.04.25
West Ham United
Southampton
D
12.04.25
Southampton
Aston Villa
L
06.04.25
Tottenham Hotspur
Southampton
L
02.04.25
Southampton
Crystal Palace
D
15.03.25
Southampton
Wolverhampton Wanderers
L
08.03.25
Liverpool
Southampton
L
25.02.25
Chelsea
Southampton
L
22.02.25
Southampton
Brighton and Hove Albion
L
15.02.25
Southampton
Bournemouth
L
01.02.25
Ipswich
Southampton
W
25.01.25
Southampton
Newcastle United
L
19.01.25
Nottingham Forest
Southampton
L
16.01.25
Manchester United
Southampton
L
04.01.25
Southampton
Brentford
L
29.12.24
Crystal Palace
Southampton
L
26.12.24
Southampton
West Ham United
L
22.12.24
Fulham
Southampton
D
15.12.24
Southampton
Tottenham Hotspur
L
07.12.24
Aston Villa
Southampton
L
04.12.24
Southampton
Chelsea
L
29.11.24
Brighton and Hove Albion
Southampton
D
24.11.24
Southampton
Liverpool
L
09.11.24
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Southampton
L
02.11.24
Southampton
Everton
W
26.10.24
Manchester City
Southampton
L
19.10.24
Southampton
Leicester City
L
05.10.24
Arsenal
Southampton
L
30.09.24
Bournemouth
Southampton
L
21.09.24
Southampton
Ipswich
D
14.09.24
Southampton
Manchester United
L
31.08.24
Brentford
Southampton
L
24.08.24
Southampton
Nottingham Forest
L
17.08.24
Newcastle United
Southampton
L
More matches
Manchester City
02.05.25
Manchester City
Wolverhampton Wanderers
W
22.04.25
Manchester City
Aston Villa
W
19.04.25
Everton
Manchester City
W
12.04.25
Manchester City
Crystal Palace
W
06.04.25
Manchester United
Manchester City
D
02.04.25
Manchester City
Leicester City
W
15.03.25
Manchester City
Brighton and Hove Albion
D
08.03.25
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
L
26.02.25
Tottenham Hotspur
Manchester City
W
23.02.25
Manchester City
Liverpool
L
15.02.25
Manchester City
Newcastle United
W
02.02.25
Arsenal
Manchester City
L
25.01.25
Manchester City
Chelsea
W
19.01.25
Ipswich
Manchester City
W
14.01.25
Brentford
Manchester City
D
04.01.25
Manchester City
West Ham United
W
29.12.24
Leicester City
Manchester City
W
26.12.24
Manchester City
Everton
D
21.12.24
Aston Villa
Manchester City
L
15.12.24
Manchester City
Manchester United
L
07.12.24
Crystal Palace
Manchester City
D
04.12.24
Manchester City
Nottingham Forest
W
01.12.24
Liverpool
Manchester City
L
23.11.24
Manchester City
Tottenham Hotspur
L
09.11.24
Brighton and Hove Albion
Manchester City
L
02.11.24
Bournemouth
Manchester City
L
26.10.24
Manchester City
Southampton
W
20.10.24
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Manchester City
W
05.10.24
Manchester City
Fulham
W
28.09.24
Newcastle United
Manchester City
D
22.09.24
Manchester City
Arsenal
D
14.09.24
Manchester City
Brentford
W
31.08.24
West Ham United
Manchester City
W
24.08.24
Manchester City
Ipswich
W
18.08.24
Chelsea
Manchester City
W
More matches

H2H: Southampton — Manchester City

Premier League 2024-2025
26.10.24
Manchester City
Southampton
Premier League 2022-2023
08.04.23
Southampton
Manchester City
League Cup 2022-2023
11.01.23
Southampton
Manchester City
Premier League 2022-2023
08.10.22
Manchester City
Southampton
FA Cup 2021-2022
20.03.22
Southampton
Manchester City
Premier League 2021-2022
22.01.22
Southampton
Manchester City
18.09.21
Manchester City
Southampton
Premier League 2020-2021
10.03.21
Manchester City
Southampton
19.12.20
Southampton
Manchester City
Premier League 2019-2020
05.07.20
Southampton
Manchester City
02.11.19
Manchester City
Southampton
League Cup 2019-2020
29.10.19
Manchester City
Southampton
Premier League 2018-2019
30.12.18
Southampton
Manchester City
04.11.18
Manchester City
Southampton
Premier League 2017-2018
13.05.18
Southampton
Manchester City
29.11.17
Manchester City
Southampton
Premier League 2016-2017
15.04.17
Southampton
Manchester City
23.10.16
Manchester City
Southampton
Premier League 2015-2016
01.05.16
Southampton
Manchester City
28.11.15
Manchester City
Southampton
Premier League 2014-2015
24.05.15
Manchester City
Southampton
30.11.14
Southampton
Manchester City
Premier League 2013-2014
04.04.14
Manchester City
Southampton
4
:
1
06.12.13
Southampton
Manchester City
1
:
1
Premier League 2012-2013
08.02.13
Southampton
Manchester City
3
:
1
18.08.12
Manchester City
Southampton
3
:
2
Premier League 2004-2005
31.12.04
Manchester City
Southampton
2
:
1
01.10.04
Southampton
Manchester City
0
:
0
Premier League 2003-2004
17.04.04
Manchester City
Southampton
1
:
3
01.11.03
Southampton
Manchester City
0
:
2
Premier League 2002-2003
11.05.03
Manchester City
Southampton
0
:
1
05.10.02
Southampton
Manchester City
2
:
0
Premier League 2000-2001
03.03.01
Manchester City
Southampton
0
:
1
23.10.00
Southampton
Manchester City
0
:
2
More matches

Tables

Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Liverpool
35 25 7 3 81:35 82
2
Arsenal
35 18 13 4 64:31 67
3
Manchester City
35 19 7 9 67:43 64
4
Newcastle United
35 19 6 10 66:45 63
5
Chelsea
35 18 9 8 62:41 63
6
Nottingham Forest
35 18 7 10 54:42 61
7
Aston Villa
35 17 9 9 55:49 60
8
Bournemouth
35 14 11 10 55:42 53
9
Brentford
35 15 7 13 62:53 52
10
Brighton and Hove Albion
35 13 13 9 57:56 52
11
Fulham
35 14 9 12 50:47 51
12
Crystal Palace
35 11 13 11 44:48 46
13
Wolverhampton Wanderers
35 12 5 18 51:62 41
14
Everton
35 8 15 12 36:43 39
15
Manchester United
35 10 9 16 42:51 39
16
Tottenham Hotspur
35 11 5 19 63:57 38
17
West Ham United
35 9 10 16 40:59 37
18
Ipswich
35 4 10 21 35:76 22
19
Leicester City
35 5 6 24 29:76 21
20
Southampton
35 2 5 28 25:82 11
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Liverpool
17 14 2 1 39:13 44
2
Manchester City
18 12 3 3 40:22 39
3
Chelsea
18 11 5 2 34:18 38
4
Aston Villa
18 10 7 1 32:20 37
5
Arsenal
18 10 6 2 34:17 36
6
Newcastle United
17 11 2 4 38:19 35
7
Nottingham Forest
17 9 4 4 24:13 31
8
Brentford
18 9 4 5 38:32 31
9
Brighton and Hove Albion
18 7 8 3 27:24 29
10
Fulham
17 7 5 5 26:25 26
11
Bournemouth
17 7 4 6 21:15 25
12
Crystal Palace
18 5 7 6 20:24 22
13
Tottenham Hotspur
17 6 3 8 34:29 21
14
Everton
18 4 9 5 24:23 21
15
Manchester United
17 6 3 8 21:26 21
16
Wolverhampton Wanderers
17 6 2 9 26:29 20
17
West Ham United
18 5 5 8 22:32 20
18
Leicester City
18 3 3 12 13:34 12
19
Ipswich
17 1 4 12 13:40 7
20
Southampton
17 1 2 14 12:45 5
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Liverpool
18 11 5 2 42:22 38
2
Arsenal
17 8 7 2 30:14 31
3
Nottingham Forest
18 9 3 6 30:29 30
4
Bournemouth
18 7 7 4 34:27 28
5
Newcastle United
18 8 4 6 28:26 28
6
Manchester City
17 7 4 6 27:21 25
7
Chelsea
17 7 4 6 28:23 25
8
Fulham
18 7 4 7 24:22 25
9
Crystal Palace
17 6 6 5 24:24 24
10
Brighton and Hove Albion
17 6 5 6 30:32 23
11
Aston Villa
17 7 2 8 23:29 23
12
Brentford
17 6 3 8 24:21 21
13
Wolverhampton Wanderers
18 6 3 9 25:33 21
14
Manchester United
18 4 6 8 21:25 18
15
Everton
17 4 6 7 12:20 18
16
Tottenham Hotspur
18 5 2 11 29:28 17
17
West Ham United
17 4 5 8 18:27 17
18
Ipswich
18 3 6 9 22:36 15
19
Leicester City
17 2 3 12 16:42 9
20
Southampton
18 1 3 14 13:37 6

Team lineups

The line-ups will be known a few hours before kick-off
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